ECONOMY
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The Roller Coaster Ride Continues … EPU through 6/1
And it doesn’t seem like it will end soon, unless … Figure 1: EPU – trade (blue, left scale), EPU (red,…
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Why LLMs make certain mistakes
Via Nabeel Qureshi, from Claude 4 Sonnet, from this tweet. The post Why LLMs make certain mistakes appeared first on…
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You Can See the End of the Great Stagnation Everywhere but in the Productivity Statistics
Eli Dourado continues to keep his eye on the most important number in the world, total factor productivity. It continues…
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Photos from a Conference | Econbrowser
I was at a conference — actually two — in Singapore: the Asian Bureau for Finance and Economic Research annual…
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Destroying Dollar Safe Haven Status at Breakneck Speed
Consider the ten year Treasury yield and the dollar index (DXY) over the past six months: Figure 1: DXY (blue,…
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Downgrades and CDS | Econbrowser
Bessent says Moody’s downgrade is a lagging indicator… But then the Moody’s statement itself states: We do not believe that…
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Glow in the Dark Flowers!
I love these glow-in-the-dark petunias. Aside from the novelty, they speak to science and progress! The petunias were genetically modified…
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Momentum in “Core” GDP | Econbrowser
According to GDPNow of 4/8. However, GDP and final sales are both on a lower trajectory. Figure 1: GDP (bold…
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This is Vindication???
Joe Nocera has a strange piece in the Free Press arguing that the “godfathers of protectionism” have been vindicated. It…
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Has Clothing Declined in Quality?
The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) recently tweeted that they wanted to bring back apparel manufacturing to the…
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